Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.041876 1.175908 1.322470 1.494931 1.692695 1.912826 2.177023
2025-01-19 0.793255 0.963737 1.165950 1.424688 1.748666 2.143142 2.663207
2025-01-26 0.694999 0.886204 1.125520 1.449429 1.880012 2.437773 3.223168
2025-02-02 0.625966 0.830290 1.097547 1.476507 2.006133 2.729082 3.806165
2025-02-09 0.567414 0.778205 1.064456 1.486897 2.103454 2.984490 4.364195
2025-02-16 0.519066 0.733156 1.033681 1.493256 2.190626 3.229284 4.931615
2025-02-23 0.484925 0.703702 1.020334 1.520808 2.308373 3.528041 5.615469
2025-03-02 0.438991 0.651968 0.968402 1.483059 2.318986 3.658561 6.040556
2025-03-09 0.415767 0.631879 0.961500 1.513212 2.438447 3.973580 6.812391
2025-03-16 0.385214 0.597459 0.928771 1.497631 2.479276 4.159696 7.379433
2025-03-23 0.364343 0.576406 0.915025 1.511196 2.569456 4.438211 8.148377
2025-03-30 0.339894 0.547412 0.885619 1.494763 2.604251 4.620056 8.755594
2025-04-06 0.318627 0.522459 0.861584 1.486614 2.655269 4.841358 9.480361
2025-04-13 0.289662 0.482333 0.808620 1.422066 2.595418 4.846731 9.767774
2025-04-20 0.277985 0.471029 0.804590 1.446085 2.705421 5.193341 10.821354
2025-04-27 0.267736 0.461361 0.802502 1.473179 2.823674 5.569310 11.994498
2025-05-04 0.255892 0.447883 0.792319 1.483532 2.908915 5.886170 13.081043
2025-05-11 0.244459 0.434278 0.780748 1.489877 2.986110 6.194134 14.193222
2025-05-18 0.236612 0.426725 0.779876 1.517360 3.110418 6.619280 15.657105
2025-05-25 0.221390 0.404177 0.748592 1.479705 3.089638 6.714968 16.306515
2025-06-01 0.215214 0.398538 0.749761 1.509782 3.221650 7.178669 17.986948
2025-06-08 0.204384 0.383091 0.730355 1.494240 3.248510 7.395946 19.041731
2025-06-15 0.197407 0.374773 0.724639 1.507772 3.343807 7.790501 20.653518